This is a magical billiards ball, that is able to predict the future with moderate accuracy. Any amount of times per day, someone who holds the ball can ask it a question. The holder rolls an Insight check, and passing a DC of 15 the DM answers honestly to the best of their ability but with their choice between the right and left columns in the following, a failure choosing from the center column:
● As I see it, yes ● Reply hazy try again ● Don't count on it
● Most likely ● Ask again later ● My reply is no
● Outlook good ● Better not tell you now ● Outlook not so good
● Signs point to yes ● Cannot predict now ● Very doubtful
However, for every time it is used in a day after the first time, it gains a cumulative 25% chance of failure even if they pass the Insight check. So on the second time, it would be a 25% fail chance, the fourth time would be 75% fail chance, any time after that being a 100% fail chance. On a failure like this, choose the center column (Or from the wrong column, if you hide the % check from your players and are feeling devious)
I like the idea behind this, but I would change the mechanic slightly. The Insight check should always be hidden from the player. Rather than percent failure chance, I would raise the DC of the insight check on subsequent uses. If you fail by 5 or more it gives you the wrong answer. After the DC becomes too high to have a reasonable chance of success, it starts insulting the player.