By my figuring, this is post #766 and you say the first roll was post #402. Therefore this the (766-401) = 365 roll of the dice.
The probability of not rolling an 18 with 3d6 is 215/216 = 99.537%
The probability of not rolling an 18 in 365 rolls is (0.99537)^365 = 18.38 %
The probability of not rolling an 18 in 216 rolls is 36.70% and to have a 50/50 chance you need to roll the dice 149 times. If we have an 18% chance of not achieving our goal, then I don't think the numbers are too crazy just yet.
So here goes another one ... 12
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
All stars fade. Some stars forever fall. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Homebrew (Mostly Outdated):Magic Items,Monsters,Spells,Subclasses ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If there was no light, people wouldn't fear the dark.
Wow.
18
Heeeyy!!
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
Grats! 4d4 now then.
10
Mega Yahtzee Thread:
Highest 41: brocker2001 (#11,285).
Yahtzee of 2's: Emmber (#36,161).
Lowest 9: JoeltheWalrus (#312), Emmber (#12,505) and Dertinus (#20,953).
By my figuring, this is post #766 and you say the first roll was post #402. Therefore this the (766-401) = 365 roll of the dice.
The probability of not rolling an 18 with 3d6 is 215/216 = 99.537%
The probability of not rolling an 18 in 365 rolls is (0.99537)^365 = 18.38 %
The probability of not rolling an 18 in 216 rolls is 36.70% and to have a 50/50 chance you need to roll the dice 149 times. If we have an 18% chance of not achieving our goal, then I don't think the numbers are too crazy just yet.
So here goes another one ... 12
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Sry, didn't know we achieved our "goal" while I composed that message. So here goes 4d4 ... 11
By the way, I dislike the tetrahedron d4 more than any of the other dice. It doesn't roll ... it flops.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
10
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
11
Mega Yahtzee Thread:
Highest 41: brocker2001 (#11,285).
Yahtzee of 2's: Emmber (#36,161).
Lowest 9: JoeltheWalrus (#312), Emmber (#12,505) and Dertinus (#20,953).
10
My Ready-to-rock&roll chars:
Dertinus Tristany // Amilcar Barca // Vicenç Sacrarius // Oriol Deulofeu // Grovtuk
8
9
Looking for a campaign? Or, perhaps, trying to start one? Come join Rolegate! Just send me a friend request (same name as here) and I'll help you get started!
Ducks are just geese lite. Focus on the future. It'll become the past soon enough.
Istari and White Counsel in Club. Not the wish-granter of a thread.
Become a Plague Doctor today!
Join the Knights of the Random Table and Calius and Kothar Industries!
Homebrew: Artifact, Dungeon
May be offline due to school
15
Awwr. So nearly! :(
Mega Yahtzee Thread:
Highest 41: brocker2001 (#11,285).
Yahtzee of 2's: Emmber (#36,161).
Lowest 9: JoeltheWalrus (#312), Emmber (#12,505) and Dertinus (#20,953).
Well, it's close, at least.
10
Looking for a campaign? Or, perhaps, trying to start one? Come join Rolegate! Just send me a friend request (same name as here) and I'll help you get started!
Ducks are just geese lite. Focus on the future. It'll become the past soon enough.
Istari and White Counsel in Club. Not the wish-granter of a thread.
Become a Plague Doctor today!
Join the Knights of the Random Table and Calius and Kothar Industries!
Homebrew: Artifact, Dungeon
May be offline due to school
So now we're looking for a 16? (4d4)
Let's see how long this takes. The 50% mark is 177 rolls. Roll Number 9 ... 7
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
14
My Ready-to-rock&roll chars:
Dertinus Tristany // Amilcar Barca // Vicenç Sacrarius // Oriol Deulofeu // Grovtuk
Gonna be here a while... 15
Looking for a campaign? Or, perhaps, trying to start one? Come join Rolegate! Just send me a friend request (same name as here) and I'll help you get started!
Ducks are just geese lite. Focus on the future. It'll become the past soon enough.
Istari and White Counsel in Club. Not the wish-granter of a thread.
Become a Plague Doctor today!
Join the Knights of the Random Table and Calius and Kothar Industries!
Homebrew: Artifact, Dungeon
May be offline due to school
10
My Ready-to-rock&roll chars:
Dertinus Tristany // Amilcar Barca // Vicenç Sacrarius // Oriol Deulofeu // Grovtuk
10
Mega Yahtzee Thread:
Highest 41: brocker2001 (#11,285).
Yahtzee of 2's: Emmber (#36,161).
Lowest 9: JoeltheWalrus (#312), Emmber (#12,505) and Dertinus (#20,953).
9
Looking for a campaign? Or, perhaps, trying to start one? Come join Rolegate! Just send me a friend request (same name as here) and I'll help you get started!
Ducks are just geese lite. Focus on the future. It'll become the past soon enough.
Istari and White Counsel in Club. Not the wish-granter of a thread.
Become a Plague Doctor today!
Join the Knights of the Random Table and Calius and Kothar Industries!
Homebrew: Artifact, Dungeon
May be offline due to school
8
All stars fade. Some stars forever fall.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Homebrew (Mostly Outdated): Magic Items, Monsters, Spells, Subclasses
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If there was no light, people wouldn't fear the dark.
11
Looking for a campaign? Or, perhaps, trying to start one? Come join Rolegate! Just send me a friend request (same name as here) and I'll help you get started!
Ducks are just geese lite. Focus on the future. It'll become the past soon enough.
Istari and White Counsel in Club. Not the wish-granter of a thread.
Become a Plague Doctor today!
Join the Knights of the Random Table and Calius and Kothar Industries!
Homebrew: Artifact, Dungeon
May be offline due to school
9...
Mega Yahtzee Thread:
Highest 41: brocker2001 (#11,285).
Yahtzee of 2's: Emmber (#36,161).
Lowest 9: JoeltheWalrus (#312), Emmber (#12,505) and Dertinus (#20,953).