Monstrous Compendium Vol. 1: Spelljammer Creatures
Frozen Sick
D&D Beyond Basic Rules
Basic Rules (2014)
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Monstrous Compendium Vol. 1: Spelljammer CreaturesFrozen SickD&D Beyond Basic RulesBasic Rules (2014)Sign in to view your library & saved favorites.
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19
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
17
The easy formula for checking the probability of making this many rolls to attain a TN of 30 is ...
10 ^ ((Current Post Number - 2090)) x log (0.999))
The 0.999 is the probability of rolling something other than a 30, which is 999/1000.
This series of rolls began on Post #2091, so to find out how many posts have been made since this started, subtract 2090 from the current post # and you have an idea of how many rolls have been attempted. A number of posts were 3d6 or some other attempt, and a small number were just text posts, so the number of attempts is an "upper bound".
The Log and 10^ operations are used because many calculators will not perform exponential calculations a large number of times. I don't know why the microprocessor instructions don't use the same mathematical operation I do, but many appear to have a routine to iterate the exponential function, which is computer programming malpractice in my view. At the current count we have ...
10 ^ ((3441 - 2090) x log (0.999)) = 10^ ((1351) x (-0.00043451177)) = 10^ (-0.5870254067) = 0.2588 -or- 25.9% chance of taking this long to roll the Target Number. The 50% mark occurred at post number 2783. The problem is that all the previous rolls now don't matter. We still have to "expect" to take 693 more rolls to hit the TN.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
24
Founding Member of the High Roller Society. (Currently trying to roll max on 6d4)
11
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
5
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
18
Founding Member of the High Roller Society. (Currently trying to roll max on 6d4)
23
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
25
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
22
My Ready-to-rock&roll chars:
Dertinus Tristany // Amilcar Barca // Vicenç Sacrarius // Oriol Deulofeu // Grovtuk
7
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
25
Founding Member of the High Roller Society. (Currently trying to roll max on 6d4)
17
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
17
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
25
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[A]
16
Founding Member of the High Roller Society. (Currently trying to roll max on 6d4)
13
My Ready-to-rock&roll chars:
Dertinus Tristany // Amilcar Barca // Vicenç Sacrarius // Oriol Deulofeu // Grovtuk
20
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
15
My Ready-to-rock&roll chars:
Dertinus Tristany // Amilcar Barca // Vicenç Sacrarius // Oriol Deulofeu // Grovtuk
28
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
Almost….
21
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.