This post has potentially manipulated dice roll results.
17
At about post #2790 we will have rolled enough times to have had a 50% chance of obtaining the TN of 30.
The problem is that every failure doesn't increase the chances of getting the roll on the next one. It is a fallacy many people have to believe they are "due" to have a success, or as they say in baseball, "due for a hit." While there is a logical reason to think that a "cold streak can't last forever", it has nothing to do with your chances of success on the next roll. Right now, we can still expect to roll another 700-ish times before we hit the TN.
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
At about post #2790 we will have rolled enough times to have had a 50% chance of obtaining the TN of 30.
The problem is that every failure doesn't increase the chances of getting the roll on the next one. It is a fallacy many people have to believe they are "due" to have a success, or as they say in baseball, "due for a hit." While there is a logical reason to think that a "cold streak can't last forever", it has nothing to do with your chances of success on the next roll. Right now, we can still expect to roll another 700-ish times before we hit the TN.
well said, let’s keep rolling and we’ll get there!
At about post #2790 we will have rolled enough times to have had a 50% chance of obtaining the TN of 30.
The problem is that every failure doesn't increase the chances of getting the roll on the next one. It is a fallacy many people have to believe they are "due" to have a success, or as they say in baseball, "due for a hit." While there is a logical reason to think that a "cold streak can't last forever", it has nothing to do with your chances of success on the next roll. Right now, we can still expect to roll another 700-ish times before we hit the TN.
well said, let’s keep rolling and we’ll get there!
11
Yep. That.
13
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
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16
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
22
LOL - 22 ...
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Nice
12
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
22
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
24
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
15
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
16
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
8
20
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
25
What happened to all our friends?
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
11
Perhaps they recharge dice?
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
19
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
21
Edit: So close!
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
26
Not charged long enough.
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
5
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
12
9
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
17
At about post #2790 we will have rolled enough times to have had a 50% chance of obtaining the TN of 30.
The problem is that every failure doesn't increase the chances of getting the roll on the next one. It is a fallacy many people have to believe they are "due" to have a success, or as they say in baseball, "due for a hit." While there is a logical reason to think that a "cold streak can't last forever", it has nothing to do with your chances of success on the next roll. Right now, we can still expect to roll another 700-ish times before we hit the TN.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
well said, let’s keep rolling and we’ll get there!
16
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
Yep. That.
13
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.