Well, I'm not against getting another win, but given the number of rolls it took last time, that might happen in 2024 if it is only the two of us. I'm mostly doing this as a bit of fun in probability. For example, I was thinking of breaking it down into red rolls, purple rolls, blue rolls and green rolls. What are the probabilities of each of those? Doing just the raw numbers is kinda easy. But some of the other combinations get involved.
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Honestly, I don't really mind. The anxiety to roll for a goal is already enough for me. Speaking of probabilities, I think even getting the chances for all colours is mostly number crunching. What would be a real challenge is what you suggested before, trying to find an experiment that can determine how fair the dice roller is in terms of (high) extremes.
I think the results will soon speak for themselves. That reminds me, I need to update that chart I created back about 1000 posts ago; the one with the first, second, third, fourth quartile.
I hope I can stay with it and keep updating the raw distribution of rolls. I want to do that near the top of each page.
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Still trying to hit a 24. This run began on Post #7506. I believe the "break even point" is 898 rolls and that would occur on post #8404. I'll reserect my other post on the outcome and update it for the final 5d4 roll.
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
4d6 = 12
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
15
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 15
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
9
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 17
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
9.
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 15
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
18
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 15
Cyreon, is it back to being you and me?
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
That would mean we have a 50% chance each of us to get the title ;)
14
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 10
Well, I'm not against getting another win, but given the number of rolls it took last time, that might happen in 2024 if it is only the two of us. I'm mostly doing this as a bit of fun in probability. For example, I was thinking of breaking it down into red rolls, purple rolls, blue rolls and green rolls. What are the probabilities of each of those? Doing just the raw numbers is kinda easy. But some of the other combinations get involved.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Honestly, I don't really mind. The anxiety to roll for a goal is already enough for me. Speaking of probabilities, I think even getting the chances for all colours is mostly number crunching. What would be a real challenge is what you suggested before, trying to find an experiment that can determine how fair the dice roller is in terms of (high) extremes.
14
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 16
I think the results will soon speak for themselves. That reminds me, I need to update that chart I created back about 1000 posts ago; the one with the first, second, third, fourth quartile.
I hope I can stay with it and keep updating the raw distribution of rolls. I want to do that near the top of each page.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
19
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 13
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
10.
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
17
Paladin main who spends most of his D&D time worldbuilding or DMing, not Paladin-ing.
11
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
OK, so here's where we stand ...
4s 0 5s 0 6s 1
7s 3 8s 1 9s 6
10s 4 11s 2 12s 5
13s 6 14s 9 15s 12
16s 8 17s 8 18s 3
19s 4 20s 0 21s 2
22s 1 23s 0 24s 0
and 4d6 = 12
Still trying to hit a 24. This run began on Post #7506. I believe the "break even point" is 898 rolls and that would occur on post #8404. I'll reserect my other post on the outcome and update it for the final 5d4 roll.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
14
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||