Hey Yonder, were you tracking the probabilities of 5d4? I think we got down below 10% and it took us something like six weeks. Whew! that was a long one.
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Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Yea, I'm just glancing at the results and they are skewing low. With about 280 rolls, it may be significant, but I may have to compute a standard deviation to see.
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Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
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13
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
16
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
8
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
4d6 = 12
We're only in the 82% range right now. I figure it's going to go much lower. I wonder if we'll hit the 24 before February?
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
I think we could...
17
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
19
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
14
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
4d6 = 9
Hey Yonder, were you tracking the probabilities of 5d4? I think we got down below 10% and it took us something like six weeks. Whew! that was a long one.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
I wasn't tracking it, but I was getting that kind of feeling.
13
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
4d6 = 20
I looked it up and we were down to 6.6%.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Holy moly.
21
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
4d6 = 10
21 is a pretty good roll. Our top roll so far has been one 22.
Yea, I'm concerned the script has a flaw that is biased against consecutive top rolls.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
DDB is plotting against us...
10
⌜╔═════════════ The Board ══════════════╗⌝
...and started me on my way into my next chapter in life...
⌞╚════════════ Extended Signature ════════════╝⌟
4d6 = 12
Maybe, but I don't know what the plot is. Do they want us on longer or shorter?
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
21
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 18
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
20
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
We're getting some good rolls, just not good enough.
4d6 = 15
So here's where we stand ...
4s 0 5s 0 6s 1
7s 7 8s 5 9s 12
10s 17 11s 15 12s 30
13s 34 14s 34 15s 29
16s 20 17s 27 18s 17
19s 13 20s 4 21s 5
22s 1 23s 0 24s 0
This run began with post #7506 and we are rolling 4d6 to get a 24.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt
Ugh, we haven’t even had any of the second highest/lowest numbers…
11
|| Oriace - Halfling Bard - Dragon Heist || Valerian - Elf Rogue - Wildnis || Rowan - Halfling Giant - Runewarren || Khazela - Spiritfarer Dervish - Yawning Portal || Arista - Frost Sorcerer - Old Keep || Marasatra - Blood Mage - Avernus || Lan Shi - Liquid Swords || Syed - Drakkenheim || Kaelthor - Dragonlance ||
4d6 = 17
Yea, I'm just glancing at the results and they are skewing low. With about 280 rolls, it may be significant, but I may have to compute a standard deviation to see.
Cum catapultae proscriptae erunt tum soli proscript catapultas habebunt