Monstrous Compendium Vol. 1: Spelljammer Creatures
Frozen Sick
D&D Beyond Basic Rules
Basic Rules (2014)
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Monstrous Compendium Vol. 1: Spelljammer CreaturesFrozen SickD&D Beyond Basic RulesBasic Rules (2014)Sign in to view your library & saved favorites.
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27
Curse you @Mat_Yuren. This is your fault I'm here.
I went to a zoo that only had one animal. A dog. It was a shih tzu.
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That's not what those numbers mean. It's the likelihood we should have seen them by now given the chance of each individual rolls combined. It's calculated from the negative binomial distribution given the probability of getting a super yahtzee or any yahtzee and the number of posts.
It's definitely not saying the next roll will have a 56.6% chance of being any yahtzee.
Haha, you're welcome Zorg!
And yeah that's what I meant Emmber, that's the gambler's fallacy. Similar to flipping a coin twenty times and it landing on heads 10 times halfway through, then thinking the next one must surely be tails to even the odds despite the chance remaining 50/50
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Lynn-Marie Verine-Wintercleaver, Human Bloodhunter - Adventures in Esyldien
Finan Caible, Human Bard - Joys of Balance
Yroc Grumbak, Orc Fighlock - Pizazz's ToA
Arell Peroan, Half-Elf Warlonk - Scattered Gods
ESC! | 10|33|5~
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@Emmber you were born for this thread
I went to a zoo that only had one animal. A dog. It was a shih tzu.
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Yea - see a lot of people say "only x times more to go". It's pretty funny. It's quite possible we'll never get a super yahtzee.
I don't know about that Zorg. I just like maths.
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Yeah, I said that earlier. :) But if I thought we needed 40000 rolls to get the result I wouldn't bother rolling at n=15000
I went to a zoo that only had one animal. A dog. It was a shih tzu.
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I'm just here to get featured in Emmber's sig and/or bragging rights.
Lynn-Marie Verine-Wintercleaver, Human Bloodhunter - Adventures in Esyldien
Finan Caible, Human Bard - Joys of Balance
Yroc Grumbak, Orc Fighlock - Pizazz's ToA
Arell Peroan, Half-Elf Warlonk - Scattered Gods
ESC! | 10|33|5~
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Good enough reason.
I went to a zoo that only had one animal. A dog. It was a shih tzu.
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Well you've got an 18 in 46,656 (1 in 2,592) chance of getting onto my signature. ; )
1 each for a Yahtzee (6) - 6 for matching a 35 - 6 for matching a 7.
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Watch DnD Shorts on youtube.
Chief Innovationist, Acquisitions Inc. The Series 2
Successfully completed the Tomb of Horrors module (as part of playing Tomb of Annihilation) with no party deaths!
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Watch DnD Shorts on youtube.
Chief Innovationist, Acquisitions Inc. The Series 2
Successfully completed the Tomb of Horrors module (as part of playing Tomb of Annihilation) with no party deaths!
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Family Traditions [Campaign Log] COMPLETED
Cursed Islands [Campaign Log] COMPLETED
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." - William Arthur Ward
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Watch DnD Shorts on youtube.
Chief Innovationist, Acquisitions Inc. The Series 2
Successfully completed the Tomb of Horrors module (as part of playing Tomb of Annihilation) with no party deaths!
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Watch DnD Shorts on youtube.
Chief Innovationist, Acquisitions Inc. The Series 2
Successfully completed the Tomb of Horrors module (as part of playing Tomb of Annihilation) with no party deaths!
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Meili Liang Lvl 5 Monk
Dice