If it was an auto-hit on the later targets, 1 in 512 once you hit the first time (times 7/8 because it didn't bounce again)
Since it isn't, there's not enough information to say. If you hit 75% of the time, it's 1/8 * 3/4 * 1/8 * 3/4 * 1/8 * 3/4 = 9/(2^15) (and again times 7/8)
Pretty rare, but there's enough people out there playing D&D that it happens fairly often somewhere
I just pulled a Chaos Bolt out that bounced off of the first guy, and hit three other dudes.
The gremlin, dopamine-rushed side of me wants to know the probability of bouncing that many times.
Assuming you're using a good quality randomizer, it's 1/8 to bounce once, 1/64 to bounce twice, 1/512 to bounce three times. However, if you're using physical dice, most people aren't very good at rolling dice for randomness, so the odds are often higher.
We'd need to know the likelihood of hitting with your attack roll (so your spell attack modifier and the AC of the opponent).
Going with the two thirds (allegedly) aimed at by the game for hitting, that's 1 in 2592.
The odds of it happening for you is pretty low, even over a lifetime. However, as mentioned, there are enough games of D&D happening that it occurs for someone quite regularly.
If you're not willing or able to to discuss in good faith, then don't be surprised if I don't respond, there are better things in life for me to do than humour you. This signature is that response.
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I just pulled a Chaos Bolt out that bounced off of the first guy, and hit three other dudes.
The gremlin, dopamine-rushed side of me wants to know the probability of bouncing that many times.
If it was an auto-hit on the later targets, 1 in 512 once you hit the first time (times 7/8 because it didn't bounce again)
Since it isn't, there's not enough information to say. If you hit 75% of the time, it's 1/8 * 3/4 * 1/8 * 3/4 * 1/8 * 3/4 = 9/(2^15) (and again times 7/8)
Pretty rare, but there's enough people out there playing D&D that it happens fairly often somewhere
Assuming you're using a good quality randomizer, it's 1/8 to bounce once, 1/64 to bounce twice, 1/512 to bounce three times. However, if you're using physical dice, most people aren't very good at rolling dice for randomness, so the odds are often higher.
We'd need to know the likelihood of hitting with your attack roll (so your spell attack modifier and the AC of the opponent).
Going with the two thirds (allegedly) aimed at by the game for hitting, that's 1 in 2592.
The odds of it happening for you is pretty low, even over a lifetime. However, as mentioned, there are enough games of D&D happening that it occurs for someone quite regularly.
If you're not willing or able to to discuss in good faith, then don't be surprised if I don't respond, there are better things in life for me to do than humour you. This signature is that response.