The Gamerant link also talks about creating/using AI to DM games for those who can't find a DM... That doesn't sound like D&D. That sounds like a video game BASED on D&D.
I don't know. AI DM makes good sense, as you indicated in your post, for those who cannot find a DM. The game would be a lot more streamlined and faster.
Personally I would opt to play a PC game instead of using an AI DM
In essence an AI DM would then simply be a single or multiplayer web based game.
TTRPGs are a communal activity. Played around a community of people who actively tell a story together. An AI DM is a gawd awful concept that goes to show how disconnected WoTC and Hasbro is from the community of players. I'm sorry but in this day and age, with Discord and FB and other social media sites, if you can't find a group you're not looking hard enough.
What immersive experience is an AI DM going to give you other that fighting through the Monster manual CR by CR. "Hark 1st lvl adventurer. You encounter a kobald roll for initiative." .... Come on, get outta here with that AI DM business.
PS I misspelled Kobold on purpose as we all know the AI won't get spell checked well.
An AI DM simply won't work, they cannot account for player decisions the prescribed options, but the whole fun of D&D is being free to make your own choices and seeing what happens.
if you could change that from being the DM to an AI that could help the DM when you are stuck for an idea. Then your AI is serving as more of a random encounter table that could help make the game more interesting. Along with the learning element as dm's fill in gaps for the adventure then the table just naturally grows. It doesn't eliminate the need for the DM, just gives them another tool that they could use.
To be honest, I like the idea of an AI DM, based upon the content I own on D&D Beyond. I have simply had an awful time finding a group to play with. Times/days are hard to align, and all the local shops where I live closed during COVID. I've tried searching here, Roll20 and Fantasy Grounds PUGs, but not really any luck. I've even tried DMing my own campaigns, but have trouble finding non-flakes or dealing with people who connect to a game, but spend most of their time watching something on another tab "Wait, what are we doing?".
Faced with nothing or an AI DM, I'd choose an AI DM. My concern is pricing and quality. If rumors are true and they want $30/mo, that had better be one majorly good AI DM. Also, while AI has done wonders (the AI image creators are really nice), I'm not sure it can match the feel of a truly experienced DM.
In the end, due to my specific circumstances, I can see some benefit. It may be too pie-in-the-sky though.
I think an AI DM Assistant would work, but an AI DM?
Well, that really impresses me as nothing but a really smart but still really just random generator. It does not truly have intelligence. It thinks for its creator, but that does not mean it emulates its creator's thoughts. It really also seems unlikely to succeed because it would prove that it could only ever be experimental and too unwieldy to be the DM without any human intervention. While that might allow you to play a game, it could be called a "tabletop game" in name only IMmodestO.
I suppose an AI DM (as opposed to an AI DM support tool) is better than no DM but in reality isn't that really just like playing a MMORPG game. Most of the craziness my group gets up to would probably end up with "you can't do that" or "the item, weapon etc.. can't be used like that"... "So it'll be computer says no..."
I would see it as an AI on a computer interacting with the players there at the table. The players are talking and when ready they say the phrase like ok dm then explains what they are doing. With how chat gpt 4 looks it's not that far.
It would likely be less than ChatGPT on conversation and more than ChatGPT on official lore. The (still) rumor is that it would be a scaled-back version of rules. This suggests it would be limited in its ability to adapt. If true, it would very likely be video-game-ish.
Examples of ChatGPT being a DM are either pre-disposed by prior conversation—guided how to respond (as it retains information from the current conversation but not from other conversations)—or generic scenarios snagged from published content (right down to using names of characters in popular fiction). Neither would be the best interest of WotC (especially not the latter).
There will be no worries of Human DMs losing their appeal in favor of AI DMs within our lifetimes.
How will it integrate into DnDBeyond... Like current AI, it could be a useful tool for testing campaigns. Running such a thing as a language algorithm isn't cheap. A tier subscription in DDB makes sense. A subscription to WotC extending to DDB makes sense, too. A subscription to WotC extending to DDB in lieu of a DDB-specific subscription seems like a possibility since WotC will likely license cloud services for hosting such a DM tool, but a DDB subscription would be more convenient if there is integration with DDB campaigns.
Human. Male. Possibly. Don't be a divider. My characters' backgrounds are written like instruction manuals rather than stories. My opinion and preferences don't mean you're wrong. I am 99.7603% convinced that the digital dice are messing with me. I roll high when nobody's looking and low when anyone else can see.🎲 “It's a bit early to be thinking about an epitaph. No?” will be my epitaph.
I predict GPT being the one people use as DM, by connecting it to Roll20 through API, it could generate tokens, maps, and run the game. It can save things now as permanent memories that can hold between different conversations. It has voice ability thats life-like and eventually people will just slap Matt Mercer's voice in there. I would give it 2-5 years before AI-Dm is better than about 80% with only people on Matt Mercer's level being better.
Within 10 years, I predict some form of a Sandbox VR that the AI DM can create around you. Shaping a real world, acting as the people, talking in a lifelike manner.
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The Gamerant link also talks about creating/using AI to DM games for those who can't find a DM... That doesn't sound like D&D. That sounds like a video game BASED on D&D.
https://gamerant.com/dungeons-dragons-subscription-system-one-dnd-rumor/
I don't know. AI DM makes good sense, as you indicated in your post, for those who cannot find a DM. The game would be a lot more streamlined and faster.
Personally I would opt to play a PC game instead of using an AI DM
In essence an AI DM would then simply be a single or multiplayer web based game.
TTRPGs are a communal activity. Played around a community of people who actively tell a story together. An AI DM is a gawd awful concept that goes to show how disconnected WoTC and Hasbro is from the community of players. I'm sorry but in this day and age, with Discord and FB and other social media sites, if you can't find a group you're not looking hard enough.
What immersive experience is an AI DM going to give you other that fighting through the Monster manual CR by CR. "Hark 1st lvl adventurer. You encounter a kobald roll for initiative." .... Come on, get outta here with that AI DM business.
PS I misspelled Kobold on purpose as we all know the AI won't get spell checked well.
An AI DM simply won't work, they cannot account for player decisions the prescribed options, but the whole fun of D&D is being free to make your own choices and seeing what happens.
if you could change that from being the DM to an AI that could help the DM when you are stuck for an idea. Then your AI is serving as more of a random encounter table that could help make the game more interesting. Along with the learning element as dm's fill in gaps for the adventure then the table just naturally grows. It doesn't eliminate the need for the DM, just gives them another tool that they could use.
To be honest, I like the idea of an AI DM, based upon the content I own on D&D Beyond. I have simply had an awful time finding a group to play with. Times/days are hard to align, and all the local shops where I live closed during COVID. I've tried searching here, Roll20 and Fantasy Grounds PUGs, but not really any luck. I've even tried DMing my own campaigns, but have trouble finding non-flakes or dealing with people who connect to a game, but spend most of their time watching something on another tab "Wait, what are we doing?".
Faced with nothing or an AI DM, I'd choose an AI DM. My concern is pricing and quality. If rumors are true and they want $30/mo, that had better be one majorly good AI DM. Also, while AI has done wonders (the AI image creators are really nice), I'm not sure it can match the feel of a truly experienced DM.
In the end, due to my specific circumstances, I can see some benefit. It may be too pie-in-the-sky though.
I think an AI DM Assistant would work, but an AI DM?
Well, that really impresses me as nothing but a really smart but still really just random generator. It does not truly have intelligence. It thinks for its creator, but that does not mean it emulates its creator's thoughts. It really also seems unlikely to succeed because it would prove that it could only ever be experimental and too unwieldy to be the DM without any human intervention. While that might allow you to play a game, it could be called a "tabletop game" in name only IMmodestO.
I suppose an AI DM (as opposed to an AI DM support tool) is better than no DM but in reality isn't that really just like playing a MMORPG game. Most of the craziness my group gets up to would probably end up with "you can't do that" or "the item, weapon etc.. can't be used like that"... "So it'll be computer says no..."
I would see it as an AI on a computer interacting with the players there at the table. The players are talking and when ready they say the phrase like ok dm then explains what they are doing. With how chat gpt 4 looks it's not that far.
It would likely be less than ChatGPT on conversation and more than ChatGPT on official lore. The (still) rumor is that it would be a scaled-back version of rules. This suggests it would be limited in its ability to adapt. If true, it would very likely be video-game-ish.
Examples of ChatGPT being a DM are either pre-disposed by prior conversation—guided how to respond (as it retains information from the current conversation but not from other conversations)—or generic scenarios snagged from published content (right down to using names of characters in popular fiction). Neither would be the best interest of WotC (especially not the latter).
There will be no worries of Human DMs losing their appeal in favor of AI DMs within our lifetimes.
How will it integrate into DnDBeyond... Like current AI, it could be a useful tool for testing campaigns. Running such a thing as a language algorithm isn't cheap. A tier subscription in DDB makes sense. A subscription to WotC extending to DDB makes sense, too. A subscription to WotC extending to DDB in lieu of a DDB-specific subscription seems like a possibility since WotC will likely license cloud services for hosting such a DM tool, but a DDB subscription would be more convenient if there is integration with DDB campaigns.
Human. Male. Possibly. Don't be a divider.
My characters' backgrounds are written like instruction manuals rather than stories. My opinion and preferences don't mean you're wrong.
I am 99.7603% convinced that the digital dice are messing with me. I roll high when nobody's looking and low when anyone else can see.🎲
“It's a bit early to be thinking about an epitaph. No?” will be my epitaph.
I predict GPT being the one people use as DM, by connecting it to Roll20 through API, it could generate tokens, maps, and run the game. It can save things now as permanent memories that can hold between different conversations. It has voice ability thats life-like and eventually people will just slap Matt Mercer's voice in there. I would give it 2-5 years before AI-Dm is better than about 80% with only people on Matt Mercer's level being better.
Within 10 years, I predict some form of a Sandbox VR that the AI DM can create around you. Shaping a real world, acting as the people, talking in a lifelike manner.