Would anyone be interested in finding out the stats of various 2024 PHB rules?

For example, the actual damage-buff of having Heroic Inspiration, how Chromatic Orb scales with spell level, etc?

I was going to do a Twitch livestream where I take your popular requests and find out the actual probabilities of each using Python programming.  I can go through any comparisons you want me to go through too!

If you would want to watch something like this, or just want to reply to this post with some of your requests, I’ll start cracking. 🙂 

Got my first set of stats done.  This is assuming an Attack Bonus of +10 (stat bonus +4, prof bonus +4, +2 magical item), AC of 18, Saves of +6, DC of 12, a standard crit range (20 only).  This considers 1,000,000 iterations so there could be some variability still, but it'll be smaller than 2 decimal places typically.  

I am aware that a Fighter with 4 attacks per round will NOT have a proficiency bonus of only 4.  This is just meant as a controlled variable.  If you want me to throw different assumptions in, feel free to reply to this thread with your request.

A few assumptions were made for this comparison (let me know if you want me to make different assumptions):

1) Targets don't start with any conditions (prone, vexed, etc.)

2) Cleave assumes that there's always a target nearby to Cleave

3) Heroic Inspo prioritizes the Reroll for hits only, unless it's the last attack of the round and there is still an Inspo remaining, in which case it'll be used on the damage roll if possible

=== Baseline, Greatsword

4 Attacks
30.01 Average Damage per Round
11.54 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.60 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
15.02 Average Damage per Round
11.54 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.30 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Graze Mastery, Greatsword

4 Attacks
35.60 Average Damage per Round
8.90 Average Damage per Target Hit
4.00 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
17.79 Average Damage per Round
8.90 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.00 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo, Greatsword

4 Attacks
36.36 Average Damage per Round
11.60 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.13 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
19.82 Average Damage per Round
11.82 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.68 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo AND Graze Mastery, Greatsword

4 Attacks
39.83 Average Damage per Round
9.96 Average Damage per Target Hit
4.00 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
21.11 Average Damage per Round
10.55 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.00 Average Targets Hit per Round

===================================================================================================================

=== Baseline, Rapier

4 Attacks
23.01 Average Damage per Round
8.85 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.60 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
11.50 Average Damage per Round
8.85 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.30 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Vex Mastery, Rapier

4 Attacks
27.89 Average Damage per Round
8.94 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.12 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
12.89 Average Damage per Round
8.90 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.45 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo, Rapier

4 Attacks
27.92 Average Damage per Round
8.90 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.14 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
15.25 Average Damage per Round
9.10 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.68 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo AND Vex Mastery, Rapier

4 Attacks
32.41 Average Damage per Round
9.07 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.57 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
16.42 Average Damage per Round
9.23 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.78 Average Targets Hit per Round

===================================================================================================================

=== Baseline, Maul

4 Attacks
30.01 Average Damage per Round
11.54 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.60 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
15.02 Average Damage per Round
11.54 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.30 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Topple Mastery, Maul

4 Attacks
32.48 Average Damage per Round
11.60 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.80 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
15.46 Average Damage per Round
11.57 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.34 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo, Maul

4 Attacks
36.36 Average Damage per Round
11.60 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.13 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
19.82 Average Damage per Round
11.82 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.68 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo AND Topple Mastery, Maul

4 Attacks
39.00 Average Damage per Round
11.71 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.33 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
20.24 Average Damage per Round
11.87 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.71 Average Targets Hit per Round

===================================================================================================================

=== Baseline, Greataxe

4 Attacks
28.60 Average Damage per Round
11.00 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.60 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
14.30 Average Damage per Round
11.00 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.30 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Cleave Mastery, Greataxe

4 Attacks
40.45 Average Damage per Round
9.42 Average Damage per Target Hit
4.29 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
20.22 Average Damage per Round
9.42 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.15 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo, Greataxe

4 Attacks
34.74 Average Damage per Round
11.08 Average Damage per Target Hit
3.13 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
19.07 Average Damage per Round
11.38 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.68 Average Targets Hit per Round

=== Heroic Inspo AND Cleave Mastery, Greataxe

4 Attacks
48.11 Average Damage per Round
9.33 Average Damage per Target Hit
5.16 Average Targets Hit per Round

2 Attacks
26.70 Average Damage per Round
9.44 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.83 Average Targets Hit per Round

Some conclusions:

- Vex, Heroic Inspo, and Topple are non-linearly related to Attacks per round. Heroic Inspo has a less-pronounced effect with more Attacks per round and Vex/Topple have a more-pronounced effect with more Attacks per Round.

- Meanwhile, Graze and Cleave are linearly related to Attacks per Round.

- Highest single-target damaging combination is Heroic Inspo AND Graze Mastery, Greatsword

- Highest 1-round output if all conditions are met is Heroic Inspo AND Cleave Mastery, Greataxe

- Highest non-Mastery weapons with Heroic Inspo are Maul/Greatsword

Quote from Sillvva >>

Per the Dungeon Master's Guide on monster creation, AC 18 is the average AC for CR's 13-16. So a character would have a proficiency bonus and likely stat bonus of +5 by then.

 
Yeah, I had to find a balance.  I mostly picked the numbers to make anything 8 or higher would be a hit (Attack Bonus +10, AC 18).  Do you have a list of variables you want to send me (just see below), that you’d like me to cross-reference?

Attacker Stat Bonus:

Attacker Prof Bonus:

Attacker Magic Item Bonus:

Target AC:

Target Save Stat Bonus:

Target Save Prof Bonus:

Weapon/Mastery Combo:

Any other specifics (I haven’t programmed all features yet, but let me know which one interests you and I can do it) 

Alright, let's test out some new features.  Target has AC 20, and Save Bonus of +9

Fighter Champion, GWM Feat, 20 Str, Prof Bonus 6, +3 Magic Weapon, GWF Fighting Style, Graze Mastery, Studied Attacks, Crit on 18-20, wielding a Greatsword

71.49 Average Damage per Round
17.87 Average Damage per Target Hit
4.00 Average Targets Hit per Round

===

Berserker, GWM Feat, 24 Str, Prof Bonus 6, +3 Magic Weapon, Graze Mastery, Rage +4, always Reckless/Brutal Striking, Frenzy 4d6, wielding a Greatsword

71.70 Average Damage per Round
35.85 Average Damage per Target Hit
2.00 Average Targets Hit per Round

===

Assassin, Dual Wielder Feat, 20 Dex, Prof Bonus 6, +3 Magic Weapon, Vex, Assassinate, Sneak Attack, Surprise Strikes, wielding a Rapier and Scimitar (1st round only)

80.97 Average Damage per Round
49.32 Average Damage per Target Hit
1.64 Average Targets Hit per Round

Added an assassin example